Spain vs. France 2026 World Cup Semifinal: Odds and Preview

Spain and France square off in a World Cup 2026 semifinal on Tuesday, with kickoff at 3 p.m. ET from Dallas Stadium. The No. 1-ranked France face third-ranked Spain in what shapes up as a heavyweight clash between two of the tournament’s deadliest attacking teams.

France cruised past Morocco 2-0 in the quarterfinals, while Spain had to work for their 2-1 victory over Belgium. This is Spain’s second World Cup semifinal appearance ever. The matchup pits France’s Kylian Mbappe against Spain’s teenage phenom Lamine Yamal.

For France, the stakes are enormous. A win puts them within reach of becoming just the fifth nation to claim three World Cup titles.

Odds and Betting Lines

FanDuel Sportsbook has France at +135 on the 90-minute money line, with Spain at +210. A draw checks in at +210. The goal total sits at 2.5.

Looking at tournament advancement odds, France are favored at -150, while Spain come in at +128.

Head-to-Head History

Spain won their last meeting 5-4 in June 2025—a wild nine-goal affair. That scoreline hints at a pattern: the last three meetings between these sides have all surpassed 2.5 goals. Across their last 11 competitive matchups, they’ve averaged 3.3 total goals. Their most recent World Cup encounter saw four combined goals.

The Over Case

France boast the sport’s best offense. In their last 15 matches, 13 have featured at least three combined goals. Spain’s last 10 games against European opponents have averaged 3.3 combined goals. They rank second globally in shot attempts on goal and efforts from outside the penalty area.

Jon Eimer, riding a 25-16-2 hot streak (61%) on World Cup picks, backs the Over 2.5 total goals at -110. His Champions League record in 2026 stands at 31-13-2, generating over $1,200 in profit.